Tuesday, August 02, 2005

Backyard Tea Leaves

Do you hear that sound? Its the flames of Hell slowly freezing over. For the first time ever, I will be posting a link to a Fox News story.

Surprisingly well-done, this article details today's special election in the Cincinnati area.

For Cincinnati residents, you may get a laugh out of the Batavia by-line. Had the author wandered near the Batavia middle-school he would have faced almost certain suspension! I hear the principal out there is quite the disciplinarian.

The election comes after Amb. Rob Portman was appointed as U.S. Trade Representative. This stands to be the first contested election in the 2nd district in 12 years -- Portman won every election with at least 72% of the votes.

The Fox News author believes that the Democratic candidate Paul Hackett could be elected. This would mark the first time in 40 years that a Democrat was elected to the House from the Ohio 2nd. No matter who wins, the possibility that Hackett could disrupt the conservative's winning streak serves as a warning sign for Republicans across America.

Aligning yourself with the President no longer guarantees an election win! Do you think Bush's declining popularity bodes poorly for the Republicans who have relied on the President's coattails for their seats?

Update: An alert political operative familiar with the 2nd district called to report that Paul Hackett has no chance. As recently as last week, Hackett faced a huge deficit in the polls and launched a series of attack-ads. Only the final results will tell the tale. Stay tuned.

Update 2: Partial election results are now starting to flow. Check here for an update from cincinnati.com. Otherwise, check here for real-time election reporting from the Hamilton County Board of Elections.

Update 3: Well, as of 9pm the election was too close to call. As I mentioned previously, elections for the 2nd district have been landslides for the past twelve years. This contested election makes for an interesting change-of-pace. I continue to believe that this looks bad for the President and those vying for reelection by simply standing in the shadows of the White House. Could the tide of American opinion be finally turning in the liberal direction?

Update 4: Still too close. Here's a full rundown of how the votes are playing out.

Update 5: Just moments ago Schmidt prevailed with only 52% of the votes. It was a strong showing for Hackett. This was the first time in 12 years that a Republican candidate received less than 70% of the votes in the OH 2nd. "Bellwhether" or not, it was interesting.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Your "alert political operative" is lying his ass off.

If hackett were that far behind in the polls, the NRCCC wouldn't have poured $300,000 into the campaign, and every talk radio host taht might be on air in Ohio-2 wouldn;t be Swuift Boating Hackett as we speak.

You're being spun, dude. Try not to be so gullible.

Anonymous said...

"No matter who wins, the possibility that Hackett could disrupt the conservative's winning streak serves as a warning sign for Republicans across America."

Well, no. Hackett is running ads saying he supports what we're doing in Iraq (even if he doesn't think we should have gone). His radio ads actually use Bush in his own words, and I don't mean derogatively. It seems to me if this election really were some kind of taking of the national "pulse," then there would be a clear deliniation between the candidates, particularly on this issue. But Hackett is running to the right.

Anonymous said...

To Anonymous:

Money is being poured into Hackett's campaign because the Dems desperately need to win something, somewhere. And frankly, $300,000 is a pittance.

Anything can happen with these things, but I suspect Hackett will lose big.

Will Hawkins said...

These comments are insightful. Please note, however, that I did not change my opinion based upon the informant's information.

For a good read about both the candidates and the race, look here

I will post an update once the final results are available.